Big Data for Locals

Tuesday October 21, 2014

Is big data good for local government? Yes and no. There’s a lot that goes into an analysis and big data is only one component that starts with what question is being asked. Jon Weinstein is running for County Council here in Howard County and encountered a suggestion that the County needs a big data commission:

If there were a big data commission, I’d expect to be chair. But I don’t think a big data commission is a great idea for Howard County. Let me begin by pointing out that I think pilot projects and post hoc evaluation are important and critical tools for the policymaking process. Ex ante benefit-cost analysis is also important. But big data for the sake of big data sounds like a waste of time and money. It also sounds like another commission with no actual task, which is the bane of local governments everywhere.

We have some experts on big data, and frankly, some luminaries. We don’t have any problems, at the county level, that big data could solve. Programs like CityStat are great in bigger cities with bigger problems. However, the problems that Howard County has, that require really hard thinking, are much simpler to understand and harder to solve. How much water will the County need over the next few generations? How will road and transit usage patterns change? What is the future of education in Howard County? What will climate change mean for HoCo? The last 25 years have seen much more rapid change than all of human history before. The next 25 will be incredible. Beyond that pushes the boundaries of imagination.

To use the great thinkers of Howard County, a better idea would be to create a long term thinking commission (I would call it a long term planning commission, but that’s an overloaded term) with a remit of thinking about and advising on how to address the next 100 or 200 years of Howard County’s history. Population, economic, and resource use can be modeled very effectively, even at the small jurisdiction level. In addition, such a group would be able to consider how alternative futures or megatrends might impact the County. Some big data would feed into that. But the ability to predict, understand, and respond to potential change is a much more important ability for Howard County to develop.